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Nation · Senedd voting intention

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Reform UK leads by 3.1%

Weighted average of the latest 6 polls · updated 19 Mar · Source: Election Data Vault

Election Data Vault daily average (19 Mar): LAB 32.3REF 19.9PC 17.2CON 15.8GRN 6.8LD 6.2

Polling average

Demo data
+/− 7 days
  • Reform UK26.5% ▲ 2.0
  • Plaid Cymru23.4% ▲ 5.0
  • Labour17.4% ▼ 7.8
  • Conservative12.6% ▼ 1.8
  • Green10.3% ▲ 2.6
  • Liberal Democrats7.3% ▼ 0.8

Trend · last 40 polls

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0306016 Sept19 Mar

More nation polling

Holyrood constituency vote

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Scotland

Labour21.3%
Reform UK16.2%
Conservative11.2%

LAB +5.1 · 14 polls

Recent polls

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YouGov
N=1,082 · 12 Mar–19 Mar · ±3
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24%29%12%
YouGov
N=1,205 · 5 Jan–12 Jan · ±2.8
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25%29%13%
YouGov
N=2,500 · 28 Nov–10 Dec · ±2
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30%19%15%
YouGov
N=1,220 · 4 Sept–10 Sept · ±2.8
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29%23%18%
YouGov
N=1,248 · 23 Apr–30 Apr · ±2.8
Demo data
24%24%20%
Survation
N=844 · 10 Mar–3 Apr · ±3.4
Demo data
25%18%29%
Survation
N=2,006 · 18 Oct–4 Nov · ±2.2
Demo data
21%13%33%
YouGov
N=1,072 · 27 Jun–1 Jul · ±3
Demo data
16%14%40%