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Nation · Senedd voting intention

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Reform UK leads by 3.1%

Weighted average of the latest 6 polls · updated 03/19/2026 · Source: Election Data Vault

Election Data Vault daily average (03/19/2026): LAB 32.3REF 19.9PC 17.2CON 15.8GRN 6.8LD 6.2

Polling average

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+/− 7 days
  • Reform UK26.5% ▲ 2.0
  • Plaid Cymru23.4% ▲ 5.0
  • Labour17.4% ▼ 7.8
  • Conservative12.6% ▼ 1.8
  • Green10.3% ▲ 2.6
  • Liberal Democrats7.3% ▼ 0.8

Trend · last 40 polls

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0306009/16/202103/19/2026

More nation polling

Holyrood constituency vote

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Scotland

Labour21.3%
Reform UK16.2%
Conservative11.2%

LAB +5.1 · 14 polls

Recent polls

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YouGov
N=1,082 · 03/12/2026–03/19/2026 · ±3
Demo data
24%29%12%
YouGov
N=1,205 · 01/05/2026–01/12/2026 · ±2.8
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25%29%13%
YouGov
N=2,500 · 11/28/2025–12/10/2025 · ±2
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30%19%15%
YouGov
N=1,220 · 09/04/2025–09/10/2025 · ±2.8
Demo data
29%23%18%
YouGov
N=1,248 · 04/23/2025–04/30/2025 · ±2.8
Demo data
24%24%20%
Survation
N=844 · 03/10/2025–04/03/2025 · ±3.4
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25%18%29%
Survation
N=2,006 · 10/18/2024–11/04/2024 · ±2.2
Demo data
21%13%33%
YouGov
N=1,072 · 06/27/2024–07/01/2024 · ±3
Demo data
16%14%40%