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National · Westminster voting intention

Labour leads by 3.3%

Weighted average of the latest 6 polls · updated 21 Sept · Source: Wikipedia · Election Data Vault

Election Data Vault daily average (2 Jul): REF 26.3LAB 20.0CON 18.9GRN 13.6LD 11.9SNP 2.9PC 1.3

Polling average

+/− 7 days
  • Labour25.8% 0.2
  • Reform UK22.5% 0.5
  • Conservative20.4% 0.5
  • Liberal Democrats10.7% 0.2
  • Green10.6% 0.2
  • Scottish National Party2.4% 0.4
  • Plaid Cymru0.9% 0.0

Trend · last 40 polls

017.53510 Aug21 Sept

Seat projection

326 TO WIN
241
168
139
72
LAB 241REF 168CON 139LD 72GRN 6

Recent data

YouGov
N=2,286 · 21 Sept21 Sept · ±2
23%21%21%
More in Common
N=2,113 · 21 Sept21 Sept · ±2.1
26%22%23%
Opinium
N=2,050 · 18 Sept18 Sept · ±2.2
27%24%18%
Find Out Now
N=2,621 · 16 Sept16 Sept · ±1.9
25%23%18%
Trajectory Partnership
N=1,460 · 16 Sept16 Sept · ±2.6
30%22%21%
More in Common
N=2,038 · 15 Sept15 Sept · ±2.2
25%23%22%
Ipsos
N=1,033 · 15 Sept15 Sept · ±3
27%23%21%
YouGov
N=2,149 · 14 Sept14 Sept · ±2.1
23%23%20%