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National · Westminster voting intention

Demo data

Reform UK leads by 4%

Weighted average of the latest 6 polls · updated 07/02/2026 · Source: Election Data Vault

Election Data Vault daily average (07/02/2026): REF 26.3LAB 20.0CON 18.9GRN 13.6LD 11.9SNP 2.9PC 1.3

Polling average

Demo data
+/− 7 days
  • Reform UK25.7% ▼ 0.4
  • Labour21.7% ▲ 1.0
  • Conservative19.0% ▼ 0.4
  • Green13.1% ▲ 0.1
  • Liberal Democrats11.7% ▼ 0.8
  • Scottish National Party2.6% ▼ 0.2
  • Plaid Cymru1.0% ▲ 0.2

Trend · last 40 polls

Demo data
017.53505/06/202607/02/2026

Seat projection

Demo data
326 TO WIN
241
168
139
72
LAB 241REF 168CON 139LD 72GRN 6

Recent polls

Demo data
FindOutNow
N=2,002 · 07/01/2026–07/02/2026 · ±2.2
Demo data
25%21%19%
YouGov
N=2,437 · 06/28/2026–06/29/2026 · ±2
Demo data
24%20%20%
More in Common
N=2,852 · 06/26/2026–06/28/2026 · ±1.8
Demo data
28%24%20%
Opinium
N=2,050 · 06/24/2026–06/26/2026 · ±2.2
Demo data
26%21%17%
FindOutNow
N=2,140 · 06/24/2026–06/25/2026 · ±2.1
Demo data
24%21%18%
BMG
N=1,508 · 06/23/2026–06/24/2026 · ±2.5
Demo data
27%23%20%
More in Common
N=2,993 · 06/19/2026–06/22/2026 · ±1.8
Demo data
28%22%20%
YouGov
N=19,583 · 06/02/2026–06/22/2026 · ±0.7
Demo data
25%18%20%