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National · Westminster voting intention

Demo data

Labour leads by 3%

Weighted average of the latest 6 polls · updated 21 Sept · Source: Wikipedia · Election Data Vault

Election Data Vault daily average (2 Jul): REF 26.3LAB 20.0CON 18.9GRN 13.6LD 11.9SNP 2.9PC 1.3

Polling average

Demo data
+/− 7 days
  • Labour25.3% ▼ 0.3
  • Reform UK22.3% ▼ 0.3
  • Conservative20.4% ▲ 0.1
  • Liberal Democrats11.3% ▲ 0.6
  • Green11.3% ▲ 0.1
  • Scottish National Party2.6% ▼ 0.2
  • Plaid Cymru0.9% ─ 0.0

Trend · last 40 polls

Demo data
017.53510 Aug21 Sept

Seat projection

Demo data
326 TO WIN
241
168
139
72
LAB 241REF 168CON 139LD 72GRN 6

Recent polls

Demo data
YouGov
N=2,286 · 21 Sept–21 Sept · ±2
Demo data
23%21%21%
More in Common
N=2,113 · 21 Sept–21 Sept · ±2.1
Demo data
26%22%23%
Opinium
N=2,050 · 18 Sept–18 Sept · ±2.2
Demo data
27%24%18%
YouGov (MRP)
N=16,758 · 18 Sept–18 Sept · ±0.8
Demo data
24%22%21%
Find Out Now
N=2,621 · 16 Sept–16 Sept · ±1.9
Demo data
25%23%18%
Trajectory Partnership
N=1,460 · 16 Sept–16 Sept · ±2.6
Demo data
30%22%21%
More in Common
N=2,038 · 15 Sept–15 Sept · ±2.2
Demo data
25%23%22%
Ipsos
N=1,033 · 15 Sept–15 Sept · ±3
Demo data
27%23%21%